Found Draft

I was just doing some year-end blog-cleaning, and ran across this draft from… quite a while ago. I’m going to go ahead and publish it now, despite being very much incomplete, and perhaps I’ll get around to addressing the article itself in the future. Missed opportunity?

The Swiss Federal Institute of Technology has released an article titled “Why Global Warming is Taking a Break”. The timing of this article couldn’t be better, because I was just getting ready to write an entry on confirmation bias, and this real-world example will make it far more interesting. Since the full article is behind the pay-wall at National Geoscience, I shall be addressing the exerpt on the ETH homepage.

The issue addressed in this piece is the fact that

Co2 ppm by year
ftp://aftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/products/trends/co2/co2_annmean_mlo.txt

challenge to climate modeling
http://arstechnica.com/science/2014/08/models-challenge-temperature-reconstruction-of-last-12000-years/

temperature data:

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2013/13

confirmation bias

rule of parsimony

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